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JATA Independent Surveys

 


(April 16, 2003)

2003 Overseas Package Tours

Actual Results for January to March and Reservation Status for April to June

January and February sales were brisk, exceeding last year's results for all destinations (except for Guam and Saipan). Total for all destinations: 124.2% (January), 112.4% (February) [Both in comparison to last year's actual results.]
From January to March, America and Canada surpassed the previous year's single month results for the first time since 9.11 (JATA sponsored travel survey). 219.9% (January), 126.5% (February), 105.2% (March) [As compared to last year's actual results.]
Anxiety over the situation in Iraq and SARS caused many to refrain from making travel plans, forcing reservations from April to June down to below the yearly norm. Total for all destinations: 63.1% (April), 50.1% (May), 63.4% (June) [As compared to last year's actual results.]

(Average based on the actual results and reservation status of participants at five travel agencies.)

To assess prevailing trends in the travel market, the Japan Association of Travel Agents (JATA) periodically conducts the following two surveys.

  • JATA Survey on Travel Market Trends
    In order to grasp prevailing and future (for the following three months) trends in the travel market, JATA carries out a quarterly survey among member companies covering such areas as types of travel, destinations (both domestic and overseas) and overall demand. The survey results are processed in the form of a diffusion index (DI). (Available separately.)
  • Overseas Supporting Travel Survey
    In order to investigate trends in the number of travelers by overseas destination, JATA compares actual results and reservation status of overseas package tours provided by the five agencies on a year-on-year basis.

The latest Overseas Supporting Travel Survey was carried out in early April 2003, and covered the actual results for the period from January to March 2003, and the status of reservations from April to June.
The actual results for January to March were very brisk, with the January and February results exceeding the previous year for all destinations, with the exception of Guam and Saipan, which had suffered declines due to a typhoon in Guam last December. Especially encouraging and worthy of note was the fact that for the first time since 9.11, America and Canada surpassed the previous year's results. (JATA sponsored overseas travel survey)
Turning to the status of reservations for the period from April to June, SARS and the situation in Iraq coupled with the slumping economy and paucity of consecutive holidays during Golden Week have caused many to put off making reservations to much later than usual. Most conspicuous was the drop in travel to Asia and China, which had been riding a wave of popularity. Any rise in demand will depend on future developments in Iraq and with SARS.
As for new products being planned for April and after, in response to strong demand, many specific purpose tours, such as major-league baseball game tours are being prepared, as well as short 3-5 day holiday courses to coincide with few number of consecutive holidays during Golden Week.


Latest Trends in Actual Sales and Reservations

Results Comparison

Reservations Status
(Compared with the beginning of
April for the same time period)

Jan.
Feb.
Mar.
Apr.
May
June

U.S. and Canada

219.9%
126.5%
105.2%
56.3%
55.1%
63.4%

Hawaii

115.3%
102.0%
54.8%
76.5%
63.5%
66.7%

Guam and Saipan

92.8%
86.3%
72.6%
59.5%
57.0%
55.5%

Europe

147.6%
125.2%
82.7%
58.3%
48.9%
66.5%

Oceania

125.8%
100.1%
84.5%
89.8%
64.1%
79.0%

Asia

121.2%
117.9%
80.2%
51.0%
34.8%
54.7%

China

157.7%
148.9%
118.6%
66.9%
41.9%
61.6%

Total

124.2%
112.4%
84.9%
63.1%
50.1%
63.4%

Agencies participating in the survey
JTB Corp., Kinki Nippon Tourist Co., Ltd, Nippon Travel Agency Co., Ltd, Jalpak Co., Ltd, Hankyu Express International Co., Ltd.
(Survey compares the average based on the actual results and reservation status of participants at the beginning of April with the same time period in the previous year.)

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